(Sp)end Of Days

January 8th, 2009 by alyx · 7 Comments · markets, retail

walmart-earnings

No one is shopping at _________.

You can put the name of pretty much any retailer in there, as same-store failings continue to come out this morning and it is a misstravaganza. Macy’s down 4% and closing stores, Costco down 4%, LoLo texting me at 8am about 80% off at Saks… and even market darling Wal-Mart (WMT) is reporting a huge miss, shocking most analysts and market commentators, who thought that slashing prices on Hormel bacon and saltine crackers was a plan that could not fail:

Revenue from U.S. stores open at least a year increased 1.7 percent last month, below analysts’ estimates. For January, sales will be unchanged to 2 percent higher, the Bentonville, Arkansas- based company said today in a statement. Fourth-quarter profit from continuing operations will be 91 cents to 94 cents a share, down from a November projection of $1.03 to $1.07.

Evidently some analysts are still bullish on WMT with the expectation that the store will push a lot of iPhones, and with the rate at which my friends seem to be breaking theirs, I almost want to put credence in that, but really, when you consider that their traditional base no longer wants to buy $7.50 jeans and Saltines, I don’t believe it. They’ve got cash on hand, so they’ll survive, obviously – and that is really the only metric I would be using right now to determine which retailers will still be around and which you can potentially short to zero – but cheap bacon only makes one kind of “overweight” and it’s not the portfolio kind.

7 Comments so far ↓

  • Lolo, ESQ

    80% off is such a win. This recession is giving me the closet I always wanted.

  • alyx

    Exactly. Saks, by doing markdowns earlier and deeper, has to have KILLED Nordstrom and Neimans in Q4. The latter two will have to mark down this deeply to even attempt to move any merch, and even then, who is going to be buying when we already bought the stuff at Saks back in Nov/Dec?

    I’ve doubled my DVF collection this season and pretty much spent, oh, idk, what ONE costs retail? Ridiculous.

  • Gobus

    Best advice; Buy now, barter later!

  • TonyS

    @alyx: Pix or it didn’t happen! ;)

  • Lolo, ESQ

    I’ve seen the pics. It happened.

  • TonyS

    Seen?! Let’s not mince words here, Lolo… you were in the pics, weren’t you?

  • alyx

    LOLO AND ALYX IN HOT 80% OFF AT SAKS ACTION

    DEALZZZZZZZZZZ GONE WILD

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